APRIL 25TH, 2014

Fitch Downgrades Triton Aviation Finance

Fitch Ratings takes the following actions on classes of Triton Aviation Finance (TAF):

—Class A-1 note downgraded to ‘CCsf’ from Bsf’; RE 70%;

—Class B-1, B-2, C-1, and C-2 notes affirmed at ‘Csf’; RE0%.

KEY RATING DRIVERS

The downgrade of the class A-1 notes to ‘CCsf’ from ‘Bsf’ reflects Fitch’s view that default is considered probable as trust cashflow has deteriorated due to the aircraft pool’s illiquidity and age. The transaction has also been negatively affected by low utilization and small returns on aircraft sales or part-outs. Fitch expects the class to recover 70% (RE 70%) of its current balance. The affirmation of classes B, C, and D, all with RE0%, reflects the inevitability of default and the expectation of no additional payments to those classes.

RATING SENSITIVITIES

If the demand of older aircraft declines quicker than Fitch’s assumption, the cash flow generated will be reduced this may cause negative rating actions on class A-1 notes. Additionally, many of the aircraft may reach the end of their useful life quicker than assumed due to their age, which may cause negative rating actions.

Due to the correlation between the global economic conditions and the airline industry, the ratings may be impacted by the strength of the macro-environment over the remaining term of this transaction. Global economic scenarios that are inconsistent with Fitch’s expectations could lead to further negative rating actions.

Additional information is available at ‘www.fitchratings.com’.


Learn more about:

About the author:
AVIATOR is an online source of market intelligence for the airline industry. We publish over 1,200+ news items per month with sources, making us the most comprehensive publisher of relevant airline data worldwide.